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Warriors vs. Thunder odds, line, spread: 2023 NBA picks, November ...

Warriors vs Thunder odds line spread 2023 NBA picks November
SportsLine's model just revealed its NBA picks for Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday during the 2023 NBA In-Season Tournament
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The 2023 NBA In-Season Tournament begins on Friday night, with the Oklahoma City Thunder (3-2) hosting the Golden State Warriors (4-1) in a West Group C showdown. Minnesota, Sacramento and San Antonio are also in the group, with three more games to come for each team before the knockout round begins next month. Golden State opened the season with a loss to Phoenix, but it has won four straight games since then. Oklahoma City is looking to bounce back from a 110-106 loss to New Orleans on Wednesday. 

Tipoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Okla. Golden State is favored by 5.5 points in the latest Thunder vs. Warriors odds, while the over/under is 225 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Warriors vs. Thunder picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five seasons. The model enters Week 2 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a 77-41 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Thunder vs. Warriors. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Warriors vs. Thunder:

  • Thunder vs. Warriors spread: Thunder +5.5
  • Thunder vs. Warriors over/under: 225 points
  • Thunder vs. Warriors money line: Thunder: +188, Warriors: -229
  • Thunder vs. Warriors picks: See picks here
Why the Thunder can cover

Oklahoma City will be playing without star guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (knee), but rookie Chet Holmgren is coming off a strong performance. He had 19 points and 11 rebounds in a double-double effort against New Orleans on Wednesday, as the Thunder led by 22 points in the first half before letting the lead slip away. Holmgren is averaging 15.8 points, 7.2 rebounds and 2.6 blocked shots in his first five games after missing the entire 2022-23 season due to a foot injury. 

This is the fourth game of a six-game homestand for Oklahoma City, while Golden State is playing seven road games in an eight-game stretch. The Thunder won three of their first four games this season, beating Chicago, Cleveland and Detroit while losing to defending NBA champion Denver. They have covered the spread in six of their last nine games dating back to last season. 

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State has been dominant in this head-to-head series, winning nine of the last 10 meetings. The Warriors have covered the spread at a 9-2-1 clip in their last 12 games against Oklahoma City, and they have won four of their first five games this season. They used a strong fourth quarter to extend their winning streak to four games with a 102-101 win against Sacramento on Wednesday. 

Star guard Stephen Curry leads Golden State with 31.0 points, 5.2 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game, cracking the 40-point mark twice in his first five games. Oklahoma City is going to have trouble replacing Gilgeous-Alexander, who is averaging 24.8 points, 6.8 rebounds and 6.6 assists. The Thunder have only covered the spread twice in their last seven home games. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Thunder vs. Warriors picks

The model has simulated Warriors vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

Who wins Thunder vs. Warriors, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks, all from the model that is on a 77-41 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out. 

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