Raiders vs. Chiefs odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 140-105 run

The Las Vegas Raiders expect to be in the thick of the AFC West race and will look to take a big step in that direction when they face the rival Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football. The Raiders (1-3) made a big splash in the offseason by acquiring talented wide receiver Davante Adams from the Green Bay Packers in an effort to put the offense over the top in a highly-competitive division. Las Vegas will also be out to snap a three-game series losing streak to Kansas City, which has won eight of the last nine meetings. The defending division-champion Chiefs (3-1) have placed first in each of the past six seasons.

The game from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo., will get underway at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Raiders had the 14th-best defense in the NFL in 2021, allowing 337.2 yards per game, while the Chiefs were 27th, allowing 368.9. Kansas City is a 7-point favorite in the latest Raiders vs. Chiefs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 51.5. Before locking in any Chiefs vs. Raiders picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 140-105 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Raiders vs. Chiefs and just locked in its picks and MNF predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Raiders vs. Chiefs:

• Raiders vs. Chiefs spread: Chiefs -7
• Raiders vs. Chiefs over/under: 51.5 points 
• Raiders vs. Chiefs money line: Raiders +278, Chiefs -355 
• LV: Over has hit in last two Raiders games
• KC: Chiefs are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine Monday games 
• Raiders vs. Chiefs picks: See picks here

Why the Chiefs can cover

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes continues to power the Kansas City offense. He has registered at least one TD pass in each game this year, including three last week in the 41-31 win at Tampa Bay. In the season opener at Arizona, he threw for five touchdowns. For the season, Mahomes has thrown for 1,106 yards and 11 touchdowns, completing 66.4% of his passes on 97 of 146 attempts. He has a rating of 108.4, has been intercepted twice and sacked five times.

Tight end Travis Kelce is the Chiefs' top receiver with a team-high 26 receptions for 322 yards (12.4 average) and three scores. He has also come up with five big plays of more than 20 yards, including a 35-yarder. In the win over the Bucs, he had nine receptions for 92 yards and a TD. He also converted eight first downs, and has 21 on the year.

Why the Raiders can cover 

Las Vegas quarterback Derek Carr was a big part of the Raiders' offense in the win over Denver. Carr passed for 188 yards and rushed for a season-high 40 yards. In three games this season, he has passed for two touchdown passes, while throwing for 1,038 yards and six touchdowns. He has won four of his past five Monday starts and looks to throw two or more touchdown passes for the fourth game in a row on Monday Night Football.

Adams was unstoppable a week ago, leading Las Vegas with nine catches for 101 yards, and he has recorded a touchdown catch in three of four games this year. The last time he faced the Chiefs as a member of the Green Bay Packers, Adams had six catches in a 13-7 loss on Nov. 7, 2021. He will look for his fourth game in a row on Monday Night Football and sixth in a row in primetime with 115-plus receiving yards. Since joining the Raiders, Adams has 26 catches for 290 yards and three scores.

How to make Raiders vs. Chiefs picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total. In fact, it's calling for 56 combined points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model's MNF picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Chiefs vs. Raiders on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Raiders spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.