North Carolina vs. NC State odds, score prediction: 2024 ACC ...

The No. 10 seed North Carolina State Wolfpack (21-14) will try to cap off their magical run through the 2024 ACC Tournament with a championship when they face the No. 1 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (27-6) on Saturday night. NC State has won four games in four days to keep its NCAA Tournament hopes alive, including a win over No. 3 seed Virginia in overtime on Friday. UNC is riding an eight-game winning streak and is coming off a 72-65 win over No. 4 seed Pittsburgh in the semifinals. The Tar Heels are in the driver's seat for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament following early exits from Tennessee and Arizona in their respective conference tournaments

Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. The Tar Heels are favored by 10 points in the latest North Carolina vs. NC State odds, while the over/under is at 144.5. Before entering any NC State vs. North Carolina picks, you'll want to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters 2024 conference championship week on a 145-104 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 28-18 (+820) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on UNC vs. NC State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for the game:

• North Carolina vs. North Carolina State spread: North Carolina -10
• North Carolina vs. North Carolina State over/under: 144.5 points
• North Carolina vs. North Carolina State money line: North Carolina -548, NC State +398
• North Carolina vs. North Carolina State picks: See picks here

Why North Carolina can cover

North Carolina swept the regular-season series between these teams, winning both games by three possessions. One of those wins came during a six-game winning streak to close the regular season that put the Tar Heels in position to earn a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. They have built on that momentum with wins over Florida State and Pittsburgh in the ACC Tournament this week, extending their winning streak to eight games.

Senior guard RJ Davis, who was named the ACC Player of the Year, leads North Carolina with 21.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game. Senior forward Armando Bacot is averaging a double-double with 14.0 points and 10.1 rebounds, while junior forward Harrison Ingram is adding 12.2 points and 9.2 rebounds. The Tar Heels have covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 meetings in this rivalry. See which team to pick here.

Why NC State can cover

NC State lost four straight games to close the regular season, including a 79-70 loss at North Carolina. However, the Wolfpack covered the spread as 11-point road underdogs, as junior guard Jayden Taylor scored 22 points in 27 minutes off the bench. NC State is trying to win for the fifth time in five days after taking down Louisville, Syracuse, Duke and Virginia so far this week. 

The Wolfpack were 11-point underdogs in their win over Duke, but senior guard DJ Horne led five players in double figures with 18 points. They kept their NCAA Tournament hopes alive when Michael O'Connell banked in a 3-pointer against Virginia at the buzzer on Friday, sending the game to overtime. NC State outscored the Cavaliers 15-7 in the extra period, pulling off another upset win. See which team to pick here.

How to make North Carolina vs. NC State picks

The model has simulated NC State vs. UNC 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins North Carolina vs. North Carolina State, and which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 145-104 roll on its top-ranked college basketball picks, and find out.