Outer Bands of Hurricane Henri Reach New York
Here’s what you need to know:
The Northeast braced Sunday morning for the arrival of Tropical Storm Henri, packing winds of 60 miles an hour as it headed toward shore, according to the National Hurricane Center.
At 11 a.m. Eastern time, Henri, which was downgraded from a hurricane Sunday morning, was about 50 miles south-southwest of Providence, R.I., and 15 miles east of Montauk at the tip of Long Island. It was headed north-northwest at 12 miles an hour and was expected to make landfall in Rhode Island by early afternoon, the hurricane center reported.
Storm surge warnings were in effect on the coasts of the Atlantic Ocean and Long Island Sound from Queens in New York City out to the tip of Long Island, and all along the New England coast from Connecticut to the base of Cape Cod. If the peak surge occurs around the time of high tide, flooding of two to four feet is possible in those areas.
Sustained winds of over 50 miles an hour have already been reported in coastal Rhode Island. After Henri hits land, it is expected to head toward the north and weaken rapidly. The storm is expected to slow and possibly stall near the Connecticut-New York border on Sunday night before moving across northern Connecticut and southern Massachusetts on Monday, the hurricane center said.
Flash flooding was reported Saturday night and Sunday morning in more than a dozen spots across New York and New Jersey. As of Sunday morning, the heaviest rains from the storm had fallen on New York City, northern New Jersey and parts of Connecticut. Central Park broke a record for Aug. 21 with 4.45 inches of rain. Over five inches were recorded in Clifton, N.J., and in Prospect Park in Brooklyn, and over four inches fell on Danbury, Conn. In the New York City region, rain is expected to continue until Monday morning.
The hurricane center cautioned that Henri could also bring the following threats:
Isolated totals of up to 12 inches of rain.
A possible “tornado or two” over southern New England.
Tropical storm conditions from Flushing, Queens, to Chatham, Mass., on Cape Cod.
Dangerous waves, including swells that could “cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.”
With Hurricane Henri fast approaching on Saturday afternoon, Suffolk County officials called on visitors and residents of Fire Island, which lies on the southern shore of Long Island, to voluntarily evacuate before landfall.
“If they do not leave the island today, they will be stuck,” warned Steven Bellone, the county executive.
Mr. Bellone said that ferry travel off the island was scheduled to end at 10:40 p.m. on Saturday and that there would be no service on Sunday, when Henri is expected to make landfall as a Category 1 storm.
By 6 p.m., Edwin Pabon, 51, a barber and a partner at Handsome, a barbershop in The Pines section of the island, was on a packed ferry on his way home to Manhattan. The ferries had been full since early morning, he said.
Mr. Pabon was taking precautions closing his shop and heading to Manhattan, but he felt that the response was overblown.
“I am not scared of a hurricane. I am from Puerto Rico, I grew up with hurricanes, my island got hit by hurricane Maria and this is a Category 1,” the lowest level storm, he said. “I feel like people need to relax a little.”
He was most concerned as to whether the extensive sand berms and dunes built by the Army Corps of Engineers to shore up the island after Hurricane Sandy would hold. “God forbid it does get bad, even if it is a Category 1, and your house is there.”
When Tropical Storm Isaias tore through the region last summer, Mr. Bellone said, Long Island saw more than 600,000 power outages — and that storm did not make a direct hit.
Scott Hirsch, the longtime owner of the Island Mermaid in Ocean Beach, a section of Fire Island, said the restaurant began to shut down early Saturday. “It’s not our first time at the dance here with stuff like this,” Mr. Hirsch said, before adding, “This one’s running on a scarier pattern.”
The storm is expected to bring heavy rain and possible flooding to cities and towns across the region, including in New York City, the Hudson Valley area, northern New Jersey and the Connecticut coast.
On Saturday night, a concert in Central Park celebrating the city’s emergence from the pandemic was abruptly halted when lightning appeared, marking the arrival of the storm’s outer bands. An announcement urged concertgoers to leave “quickly and calmly” because of severe weather.
Earlier on Saturday, one of his final days in office, Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo of New York said he was worried that because of fast-changing forecasts, there was less time for both officials and residents to prepare.
“I understand we didn’t have the buildup that we had with Superstorm Sandy,” Mr. Cuomo said, noting that New Yorkers have had only a day of warnings. “Don’t be deceived by that. It’s because the trajectory of the storm changed.”
The governor said that New Yorkers should expect flight cancellations, and that the Metropolitan Transportation Authority was preparing to cancel some Long Island Rail Road service by midnight on Saturday.
In New York City, officials warned of possible dangerous storm surges in parts of the Bronx and northern Queens. The city suspended outdoor dining and closed beaches for swimming for Sunday, and Mayor Bill de Blasio urged residents to postpone other unnecessary travel. “I’m telling all New Yorkers: Stay home tomorrow,” he said.
BOSTON — When it looked like Hurricane Henri would directly hit New England, customers converged on Adler’s Design Center & Hardware in Providence, R.I., where they bought all of the store’s kerosene lamps before moving on to flashlights and candles, said Leanne Dolloff, a cashier.
Many longtime residents of the region, however, were skeptical that the storm would be too disruptive.
“We’re New Englanders, we can handle it,” said Ms. Dolloff, 40, who remembers waking up to a floating bed in her Lowell, Mass., home when Hurricane Gloria — the last hurricane to make landfall on Long Island — swept through in 1985.
Officials were preparing in case Henri causes as much damage as Gloria or Hurricane Bob, which tore its way up the East Coast in 1991. More than a dozen people died in each storm.
Gloria was a Category 1 storm when it hit Long Island, forcing hundreds of thousands of people to evacuate, bringing down thousands of trees and leaving 1.5 million homes without power. Bob made landfall as a Category 2 storm, and millions were affected by downed trees, power outages and flooding.
Bill Shore, a longtime resident of Newport, R.I., remembers how terrifying it was to experience Bob. He had driven to New Jersey to secure a boat and then frantically drove back to save his house.
“Limbs were coming down,” he said, “but I made it back without getting clobbered.”
Mr. Shore, however, said he was not too worried about Henri. He has a generator at home and planned to keep his 30-foot sailboat in the water, although he was thinking about renting a chain saw to tidy up after the storm.
In Boston’s Seaport District, which was built upon the mud flats and salt marshes along Boston Harbor in the decades after Bob, bars and restaurants like Harpoon, Legal Sea Foods and Yankee Lobster had not made plans to close for Henri. Farther east, in the Cape Cod community of Buzzards Bay, boats were being removed from the marina but little was being done to secure gas grills or deck chairs.
Henri was expected to flood many areas already inundated from Fred.
Officials in Boston said they were building barriers around the city’s most vulnerable subway station and would suspend some transit services on Sunday. Amtrak announced that service between New York and Boston and between New Haven, Conn., and Springfield, Mass., would be canceled on Sunday.
But passengers waiting to board the ferry from Boston to Provincetown on Friday night were cautiously optimistic that their plans would not be foiled.
Gary Livolsi said he had been through a lot of nor’easters and was content simply making sure the umbrellas and cushions were not left on his patio.
“I’m hoping they’re overestimating it, as they often do,” said Susan Mahoney, who was off to spend the weekend in Provincetown but was fully prepared to stay longer if necessary. “I brought extra wine.”
Catherine McGloin and Beth Treffeisen contributed reporting.
At the tip of a barrier island running along the southern shore of the Hamptons, restaurant staff piled outdoor tables and chairs into the basement on Saturday as sport fishing boats and yachts were being brought out of soon-to-be-surging water.
Christine Oakland-Hill, the owner of Oakland’s Restaurant & Marina, was among those preparing for the worst as Hurricane Henri approached the Hamptons, the upscale vacation destination on the eastern side of Long Island. “It’s quite emotional — this is our livelihood,” she said.
When Hurricanes Sandy and Irene battered the area about a decade ago, the road to the restaurant was impassable for days. That made Ms. Oakland-Hill worried about losing business in the peak of tourist season, as Labor Day approaches.
“This is kind of it. We have 10 weeks to make it,” she said.
After days of watching Henri’s path shift, the Hamptons have emerged as a likely recipient of the storm’s strongest blow when it makes landfall on Sunday.
“The Hamptons might be the bull’s-eye in terms of the worst of Henri,” said Dominic Ramunni, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service, who added that the area could be walloped by five feet of storm surge and winds of up to 80 miles per hour.
Southampton planned to issue a voluntary evacuation order to about 6,000 people on Saturday afternoon, according to town supervisor Jay Schneiderman, who expected other towns in the Hamptons to follow its lead. “We don’t get that many hurricanes,” he said.
Another 500 people were under a voluntary evacuation warning in the town of East Hampton.
Mr. Ramunni said he hoped that people on the vulnerable peninsula — especially the area’s many visitors — would heed the warnings. “There’s a lot of new folks on the island who may not be as prepared or used to this sort of weather,” he said.
Town officials worried that long-term power outages would cripple businesses still reeling from Covid-19 closures.
“It would probably trigger an exodus of those who have other options to go back to their other homes or elsewhere,” said Peter Van Scoyoc, the East Hampton town supervisor, adding that westbound traffic out of town was already mounting on Saturday afternoon. “Any interruption of the peak tourist season is probably going to be felt by business.”
STAMFORD, Conn. — The National Hurricane Center warned on Saturday that shoreline towns in Connecticut might be inundated by storm surge from Hurricane Henri, possibly causing major flooding south of Route 1, a major artery through the state.
Aware that eight inches of rain were a possibility, the coastal towns of New Haven, Branford, Guilford and Groton recommended that residents on streets closest to the water voluntarily evacuate. Gov. Ned Lamont said the state was monitoring nursing homes in case evacuations were needed.
“I urge everyone in Connecticut to take this storm seriously,” Mr. Lamont said in a statement. “Prepare to shelter in place Sunday and into early Monday morning. Plan for power outages that could last for an extended period.”
Connecticut power companies said that downed trees might leave hundreds of thousands of customers without electricity for as long as three weeks.
Tropical Storm Isaias caught the power companies by surprise last year. They did not have enough restoration or tree crews mobilized, leaving the state nearly paralyzed for more than a week. About 750,000 customers lost power in Connecticut during that storm, along with 600,000 outages on Long Island.
On Saturday evening, Connie Gutierrez and her husband stopped at an I-95 rest stop in Darien, Conn., after dropping their son off at college in Princeton, N.J.
They wanted a quick dinner before getting back on the road. They live in a waterfront condominium in the Charlestown neighborhood of Boston, and wanted to at least bring in the outdoor furniture before heavy winds and rain begin.
“We haven’t gotten very far,” Ms. Gutierrez said. “The traffic is insanity.”
Outside, three power company trucks drove through the parking lot toward the drive-through. The skies were still blue and partly cloudy.
Adam Sobel is a professor and director of the Initiative on Extreme Weather and Climate at Columbia University. He is an atmospheric scientist and host of the “Deep Convection” podcast.
There are some striking similarities between Tropical Storm Henri, which is forecast to make landfall along the Northeast coast this weekend, and Hurricane Sandy, which devastated parts of New York and New Jersey in 2012.
At the same time, there are some very important differences that will probably affect the track and impact of Henri. New York City, in particular, is not at great risk this time, though some forecast models still show Henri turning west and making landfall there.
There’s a reason that hurricanes rarely reach New York or New England, where none has made landfall in the 30 years since Hurricane Bob in 1991. As storms drift north, they get caught up in the prevailing winds at higher latitudes. These winds generally blow from west to east (unlike tropical winds, which generally blow the opposite way), and push hurricanes out to sea, away from the Eastern Seaboard.
Something has to break that pattern before the Northeast can get a direct hit.
What can do that? Either a high-pressure system offshore to the east of the storm, or a low-pressure system approaching from the land to the west, or both, can drive a hurricane northward rather than eastward. When those conditions occur, the south-facing parts of the coast — from Long Island to Cape Cod — become the most likely landfall area, as it is for Henri.
Similar meteorological situations have been responsible for most, if not all, of the hurricane landfalls in the area, like the 1938 “Long Island Express” storm and several hurricanes in the 1950s. Those events prompted the building of storm surge barriers in Stamford, Conn., Providence, R.I., and New Bedford, Mass.
Sandy was an extreme case. An approaching low-pressure system was strong enough to cause Sandy to revolve around it (and vice versa) as the two systems merged in what is called the Fujiwhara effect. This process strengthened Sandy and slung it westward, resulting in the “left hook” that brought the storm into the New Jersey shore at nearly a right angle. No other storm is known to have done that.
A similar configuration is developing now: An approaching upper-level low-pressure system is predicted to do a Sandy-like dance with Henri. But it doesn’t look as though the Fujiwhara effect will be powerful enough this time to sling Henri as far west as Sandy turned, nor is it likely to give Henri the strength of Sandy, which reached Category 3 at one point. (By the time Sandy came ashore, it was back down to Category 1, which Henri is predicted to be at landfall.)
Beyond that, Sandy was an extremely large storm. Its size and westward track conspired to drive a catastrophic surge of seawater into New York Harbor. With Henri looking less extreme in both respects, a major disaster for New York City and New Jersey is unlikely this time.
There are reasons to hope that Henri won’t actually be disastrous anywhere. It is forecast to slow down and weaken before landfall. But it is too early to say that with confidence.
As Henri made landfall in Rhode Island on Sunday, reports indicated about 135,000 customers were without power from New Jersey to Maine. Here’s how power companies are dealing with the storm:
The utility PSEG Long Island said more than 1,200 contractors and additional crews have been brought in to help prepare for the storm. But it warned customers that outages could last seven to 10 days — or up to two weeks if the forecast worsens.
Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo said that power companies in other regions of New York State that could be heavily affected by the storm, including National Grid and Con Edison, had also called in private contractors and additional personnel to help restore power. “I have told them clearly,” he said on Saturday, “this is what we pay the power companies to do, to be ready for storms.”
In New Jersey, the state’s largest utility, Public Service Electric & Gas, told customers to prepare for possible debris and fallen power lines but did not project an estimate for potential power losses.
National Grid, the main electricity provider in Rhode Island, reported more than 80,000 customers had lost power in the state as of noon on Sunday, with more than 51,000 in Washington County.
Gov. Charlie Baker of Massachusetts warned that Henri could cause at least 100,000 residents — and possibly up to 300,000 — to lose power.
The utility Eversource, which provides power to about 1.2 million customers in Connecticut, said that at least half of them could be without power for several days after the hurricane. More than 19,000 customers had lost power as of noon on Sunday.
Adam Sobel is a professor and director of the Initiative on Extreme Weather and Climate at Columbia University. He is an atmospheric scientist and host of the “Deep Convection” podcast.
As the forecast for Hurricane Henri has evolved over the past few days, attention has focused on where the storm will make landfall and the risks from wind and storm surge on the coast. But the latest forecasts point to a substantial and perhaps underappreciated risk from inland flooding.
For New York State in particular, the threat is shaping up to resemble not so much Hurricane Sandy in 2012, but Hurricane Irene the previous year. That storm devastated the mountainous eastern parts of the state, as well as much of New England. Its slow motion allowed rainfall totals to escalate, filling small tributaries and then larger rivers past their banks.
Henri, too, is expected to move slowly after landfall, but its predicted path has shifted west with time. Saturday morning’s forecasts showed potential rainfall of five inches or more, not just in parts of Long Island, Connecticut and Western Massachusetts, but also in a swath of southeastern New York that includes some of the same areas hit by Irene, including the Catskill Mountains.
Some of those areas have seen a wet summer already, compounded recently by substantial rain from the remnants of Tropical Storm Fred.
Soils will be moist and unable to absorb much more water, so new rain will produce flooding sooner. Wet soils also make trees more prone to uprooting in high winds, so widespread power outages are a possibility, as is flash flooding.
Hurricanes and tropical storms are defined by their powerful winds. But the storm surges they produce can often prove just as destructive in coastal communities.
Tropical Storm Henri was expected to create dangerous storm surges in parts of Long Island, Connecticut, Massachusetts and Rhode Island.
Storm surge is defined as an abnormal rise in the ocean level generated by a storm, over and above the predicted astronomical tide. The surges are produced by ocean water moving inland, pushed by the force of the wind.
In the open ocean, hurricanes can pound the water without producing a surge. But near the coast, the shallower water is blown inland, threatening property and lives.
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves, the National Hurricane Center said.
Surge-related flooding depends on the timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances, the center said.
In 2008, Ike, a Category 2 hurricane that made landfall near Galveston Island in Texas, produced surges of 15 to 20 feet above normal tide levels, the center said. Property damage was estimated at $24.9 billion.
The National Hurricane Center said that areas that are placed under a storm surge warning are at risk of “life-threatening inundation.” People in those areas should heed any evacuation instructions from local officials, the center said.
Henri was downgraded to a tropical storm on Sunday, but it was still expected to bring heavy rain, potential flooding and a dangerous storm surge.
Here’s how to prepare for a hurricane or tropical storm:
Before the stormAhead of a storm, the Federal Emergency Management Agency recommends signing up for local weather alerts and learning evacuation routes.
In the event of a power loss, the National Weather Service suggests having a battery-operated radio for news updates.
The Red Cross suggests preparing an emergency kit with the following items: water (enough for one gallon per person per day), nonperishable food, a flashlight, a first aid kit, a multipurpose tool, hand sanitizer or sanitation wipes, important personal documents, blankets and maps of the area.
FEMA also recommends preparing a “go bag” with essential items, such as medications, and securing important documents, such as financial, medical, school and legal records.
During the stormDuring a storm, FEMA suggests staying away from windows in the event of high winds, and seeking shelter on the lowest level of a home in an interior room, such as a closet.
If there is flooding, FEMA says people should seek higher ground. In the event of flooding, the National Weather Service says those driving should never drive through flooded roadways. Two feet of flowing water is enough to float a vehicle.
Residents should heed guidance from local officials, and promptly follow any evacuation orders.
After the stormOnce a storm has passed, the authorities still urge drivers to avoid flooded roadways. Anyone who evacuated should wait to return until local officials say it is safe to do so.
Residents in an area affected by a storm should also avoid drinking tap water unless local officials say it is safe to use.
At least 22 people were killed and 50 others remained missing on Sunday after catastrophic flash floods swept through Middle Tennessee, the authorities said.
Chief Deputy Rob Edwards of the Humphreys County Sheriff’s Office confirmed the numbers of dead and missing on Sunday. He said the authorities were doing house-to-house checks in the hardest-hit areas in Humphreys, a rural county of about 18,500 that is roughly 72 miles west of Nashville.
“Things are moving fast and we are finding people left and right,” Deputy Edwards said in an email, adding that he expected the death toll to rise.
Among those killed were several children, including twin 7-month-olds, he said.
“It is a devastating picture of loss and heartache,” Gov. Bill Lee of Tennessee said at a news conference on Sunday night.
Patrick Sheehan, the director of the Tennessee Emergency Management Agency, said his agency had confirmed at least 16 fatalities so far, but he acknowledged that local officials might have a higher count. He said that the discrepancy had to do with the agency’s confirmation process, and that the official death toll might rise in the days ahead.
“I would expect, given the number of fatalities we have seen so far, that we are going to see mostly recovery efforts at this point, rather than rescue efforts,” Mr. Sheehan said.
Mr. Lee said the death and damage were a result of “a record flood like that community has not seen before.”
He described a sequence of events that he said he had heard from numerous survivors.
“They would see water in their yard and within minutes it was coming in their home,” the governor said. “And then they would move to a neighbor who had a second floor because, literally, within a five- or 10-minute period of time, they went from seeing floodwaters rise to not being able to escape their homes.”
In an interview on Sunday morning with the television station WKRN, Mayor Buddy Frazier of Waverly, Tenn., the seat of Humphreys County, said that assessments of the damage were continuing and that the number of homes lost was “staggering.”
He said that residents had minimal time to protect themselves from the floodwaters.
“Some of them described it as a tidal wave,” Mr. Frazier said. “It just caught everyone totally off guard yesterday.”
The city of McEwen, Tenn., which is also in Humphreys County, recorded 17 inches of rain on Saturday, which the National Weather Service said on Twitter would set a record for the most rainfall in a 24-hour span in Tennessee if preliminary estimates were confirmed. The previous record, set in Milan, Tenn., in 1982, was 13.6 inches.
President Biden, in an address on Sunday, said: “I want to begin by expressing my deepest condolences for the sudden and tragic loss of life due to this flash flood. I’ve asked the administrator to speak to Governor Lee of Tennessee, right away, and will offer any assistance they need for this terrible moment.”
On Saturday, Deputy Edwards said that the search for victims was being hampered by the widespread loss of power and cellphone service.
Portable communication units were being brought in to help restore service, he said.
“We have lost a lot of roads, both rural and major highways,” he said. “In my 28 years, it’s the worst I’ve ever seen it.”
The loss of life came as other parts of the South were still reeling from a week of violent storms that brought heavy rain and tornadoes. In North Carolina, four people were killed and four others were still missing after flash floods wiped out homes in the wake of Tropical Depression Fred last week, the authorities said.
In Tennessee, the devastation came after an estimated eight to 10 inches of rain inundated Dickson, Hickman, Houston and Humphreys Counties, the National Weather Service said on Saturday morning.
By Saturday night, officials were reporting that some areas had gotten more than a foot of rain. Local news channels showed surging, mud-brown floodwaters submerging houses nearly to their roofs, washing across highways and flipping trucks and cars.
The Tennessee Emergency Management Agency said that the state’s Emergency Operations Center had been activated in Nashville to support water rescues and other urgent requests for help from local officials.
“Our first priority is to assist with getting responders access to the area and conduct rescue operations,” Maj. Gen. Jeff Holmes, the adjutant general of the Tennessee National Guard, wrote on Twitter. “We’ll continue to increase the number of forces as the situation dictates and we’ll be positioning additional specialty units to respond as needed.”
At least 4,200 people across the state had lost power, according to the Tennessee Emergency Management Agency. It said that flooding in the affected counties was “dangerous and evolving,” and it urged residents to stay off the roads, charge electronic devices and monitor the news.
“Do not attempt to cross flooded roads or walkways,” the agency said. “Turn around, don’t drown.”
The Meriwether Lewis Electric Cooperative, the local utility, said it might take several days to restore power and broadband service to the area.
The utility said that its office in Humphreys County had flooded and could be “a total loss,” and that trucks and equipment had been damaged. Most employees were unable to reach the office because of the flooded roads, it said.
“The safety and well-being of our communities, employees and rescue efforts are top priorities right now,” Keith Carnahan, the president and chief executive of the utility, said in a statement. “These are devastating conditions to work in, but our employees and their heart for service are ramping up for the long days ahead as our hometowns begin to heal.”
Waverly Elementary School was “completely flooded” with water “4 feet deep in the entire school,” according to the school’s Facebook page.
Two women had been stranded in the school gymnasium with some of their relatives, one post read. A later post said they were “no longer at the school and on dry ground.”
“Please continue to pray for our community!” it said.
Eduardo Medina, Azi Paybarah and Neil Vigdor contributed reporting.
Hurricane Grace made landfall on the eastern coast of Mexico’s mainland early on Saturday, leaving eight dead, and then quickly weakened into a tropical storm, officials said.
At a news conference on Saturday afternoon, Cuitláhuac García Jiménez, the governor of Veracruz, told reporters that heavy rainfall in his state resulted in the deaths. No additional details were available.
The National Hurricane Center said the storm made landfall near the resort town of Tecolutla just before 1 a.m., with maximum sustained winds of nearly 125 miles per hour.
After making landfall, Grace weakened and was downgraded to a tropical storm. It was moving west-southwest at about 13 m.p.h. and was expected to further weaken later Saturday as it continued inland over the mountains.
“Continued rapid weakening is expected while the system moves over the mountains of central and west-central Mexico today and tonight,” the center said, adding that Grace was expected to weaken into a tropical depression later on Saturday and dissipate by early Sunday.
A tropical storm warning was in effect for parts of the coast, and hurricane warnings were discontinued.
The storm thrashed the Yucatán Peninsula as a hurricane on Thursday, bringing strong winds, heavy rain, power failures and hundreds of evacuations. Just days earlier, the same storm had brought flooding to Haiti, hurting recovery efforts after a devastating earthquake struck the country on Aug. 14.
The Yucatán Peninsula is no stranger to storms during hurricane season.
Last August, Tropical Storm Marco skimmed the tip of it, and in October, Hurricane Delta and Hurricane Zeta struck the peninsula, knocking out power, felling trees, shattering windows and causing flooding along the Caribbean coast.
Earlier this week, the storm brought sharp winds and pelting rain to survivors of Haiti’s 7.2-magnitude earthquake, which killed more than 2,000 people.