Michigan vs. Iowa odds, line, spread: 2023 Big Ten Championship ...

The 16th-ranked Iowa Hawkeyes will look to derail No. 2 Michigan's hopes of earning a spot in the College Football Playoff when they meet in the 2023 Big Ten Conference Championship Game on Saturday. The Hawkeyes (10-2), who won the Western Division at 7-2, have been holding opponents to 12.2 points per game, fourth-best in the country. The Wolverines (12-0), winners of the Eastern Division at 9-0, also have been stuffing opponents, allowing just 10.3 points per game, best in the country. Michigan is looking to win its third consecutive league title, while Iowa is aiming for its first Big Ten Conference Championship Game win.

The game will kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. Michigan is averaging 224.8 passing yards per game, while Iowa averages 123.4. The Wolverines are favored by 21.5 points in the latest SportsLine consensus Michigan vs. Iowa odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 35. Before making any Iowa vs. Michigan picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a strong profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It finished the 2023 regular season a profitable 13-9 on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Michigan vs. Iowa and locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the FBS college football odds and betting lines for Iowa vs. Michigan:

• Michigan vs. Iowa spread: Michigan -21.5
• Michigan vs. Iowa over/under: 35 points
• Michigan vs. Iowa: Michigan -2788, Iowa +1202
• MICH: The Wolverines are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games
• IOWA: The Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played in December
• Michigan vs. Iowa picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Michigan vs. Iowa live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Michigan can cover

Junior quarterback J.J. McCarthy has played in 37 career games, making 25 starts for the Wolverines. He is 24-1 in those starts, and has completed 433 of 638 passes (67.8%) for 5,718 yards with 46 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Among players with 20 or more touchdown passes, McCarthy has the best touchdown-to-interception ratio in Michigan history at 4.1 to 1. This season, he is fifth in the nation in pass efficiency at 176.8.

Senior running back Blake Corum, a team captain, is a 2023 Maxwell Award semifinalist. He saw action in 41 career games with 24 starts at running back. He is the 10th Michigan player to gain 3,000 career rushing yards, carrying 618 times for 3,468 yards. His 53 rushing touchdowns are second all-time at the school. He started all 12 games this year, carrying 202 times for 976 yards and 22 TDs. See which team to pick here.

Why Iowa can cover 

The Hawkeyes have leaned heavily on their defense to reach this point in the season. Senior linebacker Jay Higgins leads the group with a team-high 141 tackles, including 60 solo, with one forced fumble and two fumble recoveries. He has one sack for two yards, three pass breakups and one interception. He has registered double-digit tackles in eight games, including a season-high 18, including 10 solo, in the loss at No. 7 Penn State on Sept. 23.

Also helping power the defense is fifth-year senior linebacker Nick Jackson, who is in his first year at the school after spending four years at Virginia. He is second on the team with 91 tackles, including 37 solo, with four sacks for 16 yards. He has one pass breakup and two forced fumbles. He has had two games with double-digit stops, including a 13-tackle performance against Penn State. See which team to pick here.

How to make Iowa vs. Michigan picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 42 total points. It also says one side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Michigan vs. Iowa, and which side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that's up well over $2,000 on top-rated college football picks since its inception, and find out.