Mike Trout Player Props Odds, Pick, Prediction for Angels vs. Rockies

*Odds via BetMGM as of Saturday afternoon.

The Los Angeles Angels are in the midst of a three-game interleague series with the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field.

The Rockies took the first game of the series despite Shohei Ohtani and Mike Trout hitting home runs. The Angels, who lost two games against the Dodgers before this series, are looking to avoid going 0-4 against NL West clubs.

Trout has not been putting up the numbers that baseball fans have become accustomed to. He’s batting .250 and slugging .474, which is way below his typical output. Could that home run on Friday night be a sign that Trout is starting to turn a corner?

Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Trout player prop at BetMGM for Saturday, and it is expecting the three-time AL MVP to get hot against Colorado.

Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair-value line for every MLB player prop on the market.

Trout’s home run last night was his 16th of the season and just his third in June. However, he now has three RBI in his last five games.

The model indicates Trout’s RBI total is too low. BetMGM has set his RBI total on Saturday at 0.5, with -105 to the over and -115 to the under. That is the best price on the over in the market.

Coors Field is notorious for being a hitter-friendly ballpark. The altitude not only helps with the ball launching further, but it also helps with less spin, meaning it’s easier for hitters to pick up pitches.

Trout already picked up a home run against Rockies ace Kyle Freeland. On Saturday, he faces veteran right-hander Chase Anderson, who has a 7.23 ERA in June.

The algorithm expects Trout to thrive in this environment.

The model predicts Trout will have 1.0 RBI against the Rockies. That’s good enough for over a 10% betting edge on the over.

Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.

Pick:  Mike Trout Over 0.5 RBI (-105)

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