Arizona State vs. Texas State prediction, odds, line, spread, time ...

The Arizona State Sun Devils (2-0) are traveling to play the Texas State Bobcats (2-0) to begin Week 3 of the college football season on Thursday evening. The Sun Devils went 1-3 on the road in 2023 and are looking to pick their first road win this season. Meanwhile, the Bobcats played extremely well at Bobcat Stadium, posting a 5-1 record at home last season. Texas State averages 41.5 points per game in 2024, while the Sun Devils are putting up 39 points per contest.

Kickoff from Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium in San Marcos, Texas, is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Bobcats are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Arizona State vs. Texas State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 59.5. Before making any Texas State vs. Arizona State picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Arizona State vs. Texas State and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college football odds on the spread, money line and over/under for Texas State vs. Arizona State:

• Arizona State vs. Texas State spread: Bobcats -2.5
• Arizona State vs. Texas State over/under: 59.5 points 
• Arizona State vs. Texas State money line: Sun Devils +117, Bobcats -140
• ASU: 2-0 ATS this season 
• TXST: 1-1 ATS this season 
• Arizona State vs. Texas State picks: See picks here

Why Texas State can cover

Texas State has a nice duo at tailback which keeps defenses on their toes. Two guys have 130-plus rushing yards on the season. Junior running back Ismail Mahdi uses his light feet and awareness to find the open hole. He's first on the team with 182 rushing yards on 37 carries with one score. On Aug. 31 versus Lamar, the Texas native had 28 carries for 156 yards. 

Junior running back Lincoln Pare is a bruising force in the backfield. Pare bounces off contact and has a knack for falling forward. The Tennesee native has racked up 17 rushes for 133 yards and two touchdowns. Senior receiver Joey Hobert provides the Bobcats with another explosive playmaker. He has 10 receptions for 143 yards and two touchdowns. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why Arizona State can cover

Arizona State's defense is looking to build off two solid performances. The Sun Devils are ranked second in the Big 12 in total defense (205) and first in run defense (32). Junior linebacker Keyshaun Elliott is an instinctive and disruptive defender who has good play-recognition skills. The Missouri native has recorded 12 tackles, one sack, and one interception.

Senior defensive lineman Elijah O'Neal is generating pressure upfront for this unit. He has two sacks, two pass breakups, and three total stops. Junior defensive back Myles Rowser provides this group with an agile run defender who gets downhill in a flash. The Michigan native has a team-best 15 total tackles. In his last outing against Mississippi State, Rowser had 10 total stops. See who to back at SportsLine. 

How to make Arizona State vs. Texas State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 55 points. It also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time. You can see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arizona State vs. Texas State, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on top-rated spread picks since its inception, and find out.