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2021 NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Suns odds, line, picks, Game 2 predictions from model on 100-66 roll

SportsLine's projection model simulated Nuggets vs. Suns 10,000 times
Jayson Tatum
USATSI

The Phoenix Suns seek to run their postseason winning streak to five games when they host the Denver Nuggets in the second game of their Western Conference semifinal series on Wednesday night. The Suns, who eliminated the defending NBA champion Los Angeles Lakers in the first round, used a 65-point second half en route to a 122-105 victory in Game 1 vs. Denver and now are bidding to take a 2-0 series lead. The Nuggets, who also lost the opener in the first round vs. Portland, return to the court 24 hours after center Nikola Jokic was named NBA MVP.

Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET in Phoenix. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Suns as five-point favorites, while the over-under for total points scored is 224.5 in the latest Suns vs. Nuggets odds. Before you make any Nuggets vs. Suns picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $900 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the conference semifinals of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Suns. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Suns vs. Nuggets:

  • Nuggets vs. Suns spread: Suns -5
  • Nuggets vs. Suns over-under: 224.5 points
  • Nuggets vs. Suns money line: Suns -200; Nuggets +175
  • DEN: Will Barton (hamstring) is doubtful and P.J. Dozier (adductor) has been ruled out
  • PHO: The Suns have covered the spread in their last four games
Why the Nuggets can cover

Jokic just missed a double-double in Game 1 with 22 points and nine rebounds. Those numbers paled in comparison to his series averages of 33.0 points and 10.5 rebounds against the Portland Trail Blazers in the first round. More surprisingly, Jokic did not have a point, rebound or assist in the fourth quarter -- a shocking development for a player who averaged close to a triple-double per game in the regular season. Jokic became the first center to win MVP honors since Shaquille O'Neal in 2000.

Another troubling development for Denver was a back issue that limited second-leading scorer Michael Porter Jr. in the second half. Porter, who finished with 15 points and seven boards, was listed as questionable for Game 2, although Nuggets coach Michael Malone expressed confidence that he would be "good to go." Aaron Gordon had his highest output of the playoffs with 18 points and has scored at least 13 in six of his last seven contests.

Why the Suns can cover

Point guard Chris Paul injured his shoulder in Game 1 vs. the Lakers and averaged only 9.2 points and 7.7 assists in the series, but the 11-time All-Star played superbly in Monday's win. He was magnificent down the stretch, scoring 14 of his 21 points on 6-of-6 shooting in the fourth quarter. The 36-year-old became the oldest player in league history to register 20 points, 10 assists and five rebounds in a playoff game.

Fellow guard Devin Booker, who burned the Lakers for 77 points in the final two games of the series, matched backcourt mate Paul with 21 points and took only 12 shots. Center Deandre Ayton more than held his own against Jokic with 20 points and 10 rebounds, giving him four double-doubles in as many meetings against Denver this season. Mikal Bridges notched his playoff high with a team-leading 23 points, knocking down 4-of-8 3-point attempts.

How to make Nuggets vs. Suns picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 222 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent in simulations. You can only get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Nuggets vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 100-66 roll on NBA picks.

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