2020 N.F.L. Playoff Picture: Mapping the Paths That Remain for Each Team
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Updated Saturday 5:34 PM ET
For the last several weeks, our N.F.L. playoff simulator has explored every possible scenario, letting fans daydream about improbable outcomes.
Normally, there are so many ways a season can end that we use very large numbers to describe them. But now the postseason possibilities have winnowed enough that we can depict each team’s possible postseason paths as the branches of a tree.
We’ve included the trees for every team not yet mathematically eliminated.
AFC East
The Buffalo Bills have won the A.F.C. East.
The have a sliver of a possibility that they could still get the No. 1 seed, which would require them to finish in a three-way tie with the Chiefs and the Steelers at 13-3 and then hope some strength-of-schedule tiebreakers go their way. That is quite unlikely, not least because it requires the Chiefs to lose two games.
Explore all the Bills’ playoff possibilities here.
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The Dolphins currently represent the No. 7 seed. But they have two relatively difficult games ahead of them, at the Raiders and Bills. One win may be enough, but two is what the Dolphins need to be sure.
Explore all the Dolphins’ playoff possibilities here.
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AFC North
The Steelers have lost three in a row, and their possible playoff outcomes now include a wild-card berth.
Explore all the Steelers’ playoff possibilities here.
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The Browns have 10 wins for the first time since 2007. If they win their remaining games, it will be their best season since the Reagan administration. They could still win the division, if they win out and the Steelers lose in Week 16. But they could miss the playoffs, too. A 10-6 record does not guarantee a playoff berth.
Explore all the Browns’ playoff possibilities here.
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The Ravens are in third place in the A.F.C. North. A wild-card berth is their only hope. They cannot win the division. If they win their remaining games — both eminently winnable, against the Giants and Bengals — they’ll finish 11-5, and it would put them in position for the No. 5 seed, depending on how other A.F.C. wild-card teams fare. They must win at least one of their next two games to have a chance.
Explore all the Ravens’ playoff possibilities here.
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AFC South
The Colts share the same record as the Tennessee Titans but have paths to the playoffs whether or not they win the A.F.C. South. Even if they lose to the Steelers (11-3) in Week 16, a win against the Jaguars (1-13) to end the season should be enough for a playoff berth. And, of course, the Colts can win the division, but they need the Titans to slip.
Explore all the Colts’ playoff possibilities here.
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The Titans share the same record as the Indianapolis Colts but have an edge on the tiebreaker between them. The division title is theirs to lose. If they lose both their remaining games — an outcome that could certainly happen, as they face the Packers and the Texans — it’s likely they will lose the division but make it into the playoffs as a wild card.
Explore all the Titans’ playoff possibilities here.
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AFC West
The Chiefs (13-1) sit atop the A.F.C. West and are the top contender to get a bye and home-field advantage throughout the conference playoffs. They have clinched the division.
The playbook to get the No. 1 seed is simple: win one of their remaining games.
Worst possible finish: the No. 2 seed.
Explore all the Chiefs’ playoff possibilities here.
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The Raiders have lost four of their last five. Their only hope is the No. 7 seed. They would need to win out and then get very, very lucky.
Explore all the Raiders’ playoff possibilities here.
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NFC East
Washington has the best record in the N.F.C. East. Fans of the Football Team have a simple task each week — root for wins and hope the Giants, Cowboys and Eagles lose. A mere record of 8-8 would clinch the division.
Explore all the Football Team’s playoff possibilities here.
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The Cowboys must win their remaining games to have a chance. Even then, chances are slim.
Explore all the Cowboys’ playoff possibilities here.
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The Giants remain a game behind Washington in the N.F.C. East and face a difficult game in Week 16, visiting the Baltimore Ravens (9-5). Amazingly, they can lose that game and still win the division at 6-10.
Explore all the Giants’ playoff possibilities here.
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Somehow, the Eagles are still in the playoff picture. Their only path to the playoffs is as N.F.C. East division champion. A loss eliminates them.
Explore all the Eagles’ playoff possibilities here.
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NFC North
The Green Bay Packers have clinched the N.F.C. North. They are in the top spot in the conference, and the bye week is theirs to lose. As long as the Packers beat the Bears in Week 17, it is theirs. They could also clinch that spot in Week 16 if they win and the Seahawks lose.
Explore all the Packers’ playoff possibilities here.
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A possible division title is long gone, but surprisingly the Bears remain in the hunt for a wild-card spot in the N.F.C. Their next game is against the Jaguars (1-13), who share the worst record in the league. If they win their remaining games, a 9-7 record may be enough to sneak in.
Explore all the Bears’ playoff possibilities here.
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NFC South
The Saints (11-4) have clinched the N.F.C. South. They will most likely enter the playoffs as a No. 2 seed, but there are ways they can get the No. 1 seed if the Packers miss a step.
Explore all the Saints’ playoff possibilities here.
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The Buccaneers crushed the Lions 47-7 on Saturday, clinching a wild-card spot. If they win again in Week 17, they’ll be guaranteed the No. 5 seed and a playoff game against the winner of the lowly N.F.C. East.
Explore all the Buccaneers’ playoff possibilities here.
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NFC West
The Seahawks lead the N.F.C. West; a win against the Rams in Week 16 would clinch the division. They could even finish with the No. 1 seed. Not likely, but possible. The easiest way would be if the Seahawks finished 12-4 and the Packers and Saints did some losing.
Explore all the Seahawks’ playoff possibilities here.
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The Rams face many possibilities. A win in Week 16 would clinch a playoff berth.
It’s still possible for the Rams to win the N.F.C. West, a division that may have three playoff teams. They’ll do it if they win their remaining games — both against divisional opponents. They can also get the No. 1 seed, though it is not likely.
They could miss the playoffs, too. It’s not likely, but if the Rams fell to 9-7 and got some bad luck, it could happen.
Explore all the Rams’ playoff possibilities here.
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The Cardinals now represent the last spot in the N.F.C. playoffs. A win in either of their next two games would probably be enough; a win in both would guarantee a playoff berth. The Cardinals cannot win the division, even if they finish 10-6.
Explore all the Cardinals’ playoff possibilities here.
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