Who is projected to win the presidential election? When results are ...

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Daytona Beach News-Journal

Who is projected to win the presidential election When results are

Only one more day until Tuesday's Election Day. Curious who is currently predicted to win? Here's what various national polls are saying.

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Washington adds security measures ahead of Nov. 5 election

Workers set up additional security measures outside the White House ahead of the election.

Only one more sleep away from Election Day.

The race for the Oval Office is tight, with national polls showing Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump neck-and-neck. In Florida, it's a whole other story as Trump leads over Harris.

Here is what the polls and odds say now with one day left until Election Day.

When will the results of the election be announced?

Not on Election Day, at least not the official results of the presidential election.

Ballot counting has never been completed on Election Day in any state at any point in the nation’s history, David Becker, executive director of the nonpartisan Center for Election Innovation & Research, told USA TODAY.

When are election results announced? How it played out in prior presidential elections

Most of the results the public gets by election night are from that day's in-person voting and early in-person voting, along with any preprocessed mail-in ballots in states that allow that to happen. This year, local and state certification deadlines range from two days after Nov. 5 to more than a month.

Things to keep in mind about polling

The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results being representative of the entire population, USA TODAY reports.

When a candidate's lead is "inside" the margin of error, it is considered a "statistical tie," according to Pew Research Center.

Pew has also found the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump's performance was significantly underestimated.

Who is leading in the polls and favored by the odds now?

Polls and odds are constantly changing. These numbers were reflected as of Monday, Nov. 4, 2024, at 1 p.m.

270towin

270towin, a website that offers an interactive map of the Electoral College, shows Harris currently leading Trump by 1.1%.

However, the website's poll for Florida shows Trump leading Harris by 7 points.

ABC News project 538

ABC News project 538 shows Harris with a 47.9% to 47% edge over Trump.

According to ABC News, the website provides an updated average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology, and house effects.

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls.

Realclearpolling

Realclearpolling, a website that shares up-to-date 2024 election polls, shares that betting odds are currently in Trump's favor with a spread of +0.1.

Reuters/Ipsos

An Oct. 29 poll by Reuters/Ipsos shows Harris having a 1-point lead over Trump.

"The three-day poll, completed on Sunday, showed the race effectively tied ahead of the Nov. 5 election. The poll had a margin of error of about three percentage points in either direction," the poll states.

Stetson University’s Center for Public Opinion Research (CPOR)

What are polls in Florida looking like? According to Stetson University's poll, Trump has a notable lead over Harris among likely Florida voters.

The survey, conducted between Oct. 25 and Nov. 1, revealed Trump ahead by 7 points, securing support from 53% of likely voters compared to 46% for Harris.

The poll surveyed 452 likely voters, with results weighted by age, ethnicity, race, gender, education, party affiliation, and geography to reflect the state’s historical voting patterns. The survey has a credibility interval of +/- 5%.

Allan Lichtman reveals 2024 presidential pick

Presidential historian Allan Lichtman is a distinguished professor of history at American University and has predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election over former President Donald Trump.

According to USA TODAY, Lichtman uses a set of 13 "keys" to make his picks, ranging from economic indicators to candidates' charisma.

Lichtman, 77, has correctly predicted the outcome of almost every election over the last half-century, except for the race in 2000, in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.

When is Election Day?

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 5.

Polls will be open from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. in your time zone. Any voters still in line at 7 p.m. will be permitted to cast a ballot however long it takes.