Game Predictions Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs AFC ...

Bleacher Report

Hanford: I hope I'm wrong and Josh Allen gets it done on the road, but this just feels like the Chiefs' game to lose. The Bills have been a different team away from Buffalo this season. All four losses have been away from home. Their defense has been significantly worse on the road. And even Josh Allen hasn't been as good away from the confines of his home stadium.

I see Steve Spagnuolo dialing up everything he can to slow down Allen, and without a true No. 1 WR in Buffalo, I don't envision a ton of explosive plays from the Bills offense. Offensively, the Chiefs looked as they have all season against Houston, but they've never scored fewer than 25 points in two straight playoff games in Patrick Mahomes' career. Referee narrative nonsense aside, this game likely comes down to a handful of plays, and I like the Chiefs to continue to rise in those moments.

Chiefs 26, Bills 23

Michelino: It felt like we were always destined to arrive right back here with these two, now for the fourth time in their recent playoff history with Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen.

The Bills and Allen are on a special run, both in record and performance ATS. But it's fair to question if they have what it takes to dethrone the Chiefs in their building. Considering that Buffalo is up against Mahomes, a superior defense and getting little extra help over the top, it's hard to see the Bills pulling this upset off. I'll be rooting for Josh Allen, but my money is on history repeating itself with Andy and Mahomes.

Chiefs 24, Bills 20

O'Donnell: Buffalo handed Kansas City its only meaningful loss of this season. The facts, as they are, though, have the Josh Allen-led Bills 4-1 against Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs in the regular season, but 0-3 in the postseason throughout their careers.

From the gut, I struggle to rationalize the potential thought of looking back at this era of football and seeing Allen winless in the postseason against Mahomes. Sure, there's plenty more time in their careers, but it's also really damn difficult to do what the Chiefs are endeavoring to do this season.

Only three teams have ever made three straight Super Bowl appearances. I'll side with history in the making by giving Allen his first, legitimate signature win. And even if I'm wrong, I'll gladly take that point-and-a-half as insurance, because if the Bills don't prevail, the Chiefs are only winning by the skin of their teeth.

Bills 30, Chiefs 27

Sobleski: At this point, no one should bet against the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes. But here we are. The Bills, specifically quarterback Josh Allen, have never played better. Buffalo has the better overall roster. Allen is one of the few quarterbacks who can go punch-for-punch with Mahomes.

When these two teams met earlier this year, the Bills emerged victorious. Now, some might argue that the previous meeting was held in Buffalo. True. However, a balmy Sunday evening in Kansas City may actually favor Buffalo for the reasons previously stated. Cold and snow won't be a huge factor. The Bills are good enough to execute at a high level and knock off the Chiefs, thus ruining Kansas City's run toward a three-peat.

Bills 27, Chiefs 24

Other Expert Picks

Davenport: Chiefs

Gagnon: Bills

Knox: Chiefs

Moton: Chiefs