Bills vs. Jets predictions: Week 9 NFL picks, odds

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Our NFL betting writer brings you his best Bills vs. Jets predictions and picks for their Week 9 showdown, which is live Sunday on CBS at 1 p.m. ET.

The Buffalo Bills aim to pad their lead atop the AFC East on Sunday when they visit the New York Jets in East Rutherford, N.J. The Bills (6-1) answered their lone loss of a season — to a divisional foe, no less — with their fourth straight win following a 27-17 victory over the Green Bay Packers last Sunday night.

The Jets (5-3), in turn, saw the momentum of a four-game winning streak come to a halt with a 22-17 setback to the New England Patriots last Sunday. The loss was New York’s 12th in 13 games against AFC East adversaries.

Bills vs. Jets picks Bills vs. Jets picks and analysis

Buffalo leads the NFL in passing offense (307.7 yards per game), total offense (430.6) and is second in the league in scoring (29.0). In turn, the Bills’ defense ranks ninth in passing yards allowed (203.1), third in total offense (298.1) and first in points allowed (14.0).

No matter how you slice it, Zach Wilson and the Jets have their work cut out for them on Sunday. To boot, New York has dropped four in a row and 12 of the last 17 meetings to Buffalo.

Wilson is looking to rebound after tossing three interceptions last week. The second-year quarterback would benefit from a presence in the running game, with newcomer James Robinson (five carries, 17 yards in his Jets’ debut) having an additional week to get acclimated to the system since being acquired from the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Bills to cover -11.5

Allen is coming off a subpar performance — well, by his standards — in Buffalo’s victory over Green Bay. Sure, he threw for two touchdowns, however he also tossed a pair of interceptions that effectively kept the Packers within earshot for longer than expected.

Those picks may serve as motivation for Allen, who leads the NFL in total touchdowns (21), second in passing TDs (19), third in passing yards (2,198) and fourth among quarterbacks in rushing yards (306).

Allen put up gaudy numbers in Buffalo’s two-game sweep of New York last season, throwing for 605 yards and four touchdowns while also rushing for 66 more yards. Expect more of the same on Sunday.

Bills vs. Jets pick: Bills to cover -11.5 @ -110 at Caesars Sportsbook

Betting on the NFL? Stefon Diggs to record first touchdown

Allen’s most trusted target is Diggs, and for good reason. Diggs leads the NFL in receiving touchdowns (seven), resides second in the league in receiving yards (764) and third in catches (55).

Diggs padded those totals and silenced the talkative Jaire Alexander last week following a six-reception, 108-yard, one-touchdown performance against the Packers. The 28-year-old has found the end zone in three straight games and five of the seven the team has played.

Next up for Diggs is the Jets, who the wideout has tormented by recording at least six receptions in all five career meetings. Talented New York rookie Sauce Gardner isn’t expected to cover Diggs exclusively, although the latter has shown he isn’t going to back down from a challenge.

Bills vs. Jets pick: Stefon Diggs to record game’s first touchdown @ +460 at Caesars Sportsbook

Jets to punt on first drive

The Jets’ best chance to keep pace with the high-octane Bills is to establish their ground attack, thus keeping Buffalo’s defense honest and, yes, keeping Allen off the field.

That’s obviously a tall task without star rookie running back Breece Hall, who is lost for the season due to a knee injury.

Expect rough terrain for the Jets in that regard on Sunday, forcing Wilson to try his luck through the air against a Bills’ defense that leads the league in interceptions with 11.

Bills vs. Jets pick: Jets punt on first drive @ -190 at Caesars Sportsbook

Bills vs. Jets odds

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Team	Spread	Money Line	Points (47)
Bills	-12.5 (-110)	-650	Under -110
Jets	+12.5 (-110)	+460	Over -110